Meet Jacek Bartosiak, a Polish guru of geopolitics.
That's his first interview he ever gave in 2012. He said in this interview that the USA already lost primacy, China changed the system so much that it can't be maintained in the same shape. He said that Russia invading Ukraine and becoming full revisionist is only a matter of time, he said that the USA will be shifting its potential and attention from Europe to Asia, and Europe will be forced to face Russia mostly on its own in conventional way, while being supported by the USA only in domains of space, nuclear deterrence and air support. He said that USA will be forced to 'water down' art 5 of NATO and undermine the alliance in order to motivate Europeans for bigger defence spendings. Finally, he said that it might be unbelievable today, but Poland after a decade or so will be forced to spend at least 3x more on defence than today. He predicted decoupling of Russia from Europe in matter of energy. Etc.
He said all of this in 2012. Even before Maidan.
This guy is an ower of "Strategy and Future" think tank, and he invites to his think tank retired admirals and generals of US Army and such guys like Elbridge Colby or Robert Lighthizer, etc, entire core of creators of US-American grand strategy are his friends.
This guy must be US-American glowie, he knows too much for an average Joe.
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:24:38 GMT
No. 24917719
>>24917721
wow a true visionary, truly the first one to notice the rise of chinese dragon
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:25:37 GMT
No. 24917721
>>24917730
>>24917719
Pivot to Asia was announced by Clinton already in 2008. It was not a surprise to anyone, but everything else he said was truly visionary.
>>24917721
this jew and his buddy zeihan wrote about this years before xerosiak
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:27:47 GMT
No. 24917736
>>24917730
Possibly. But still, it is impressive.
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:29:16 GMT
No. 24917741
>>24917840
>>24917730
BTW, Friedman also predicted in 00s that Poland would become a regional empire, the most powerful country in Europe after few decades. xD
Would be great if it really happened
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:30:59 GMT
No. 24917751
>>24917787
>>24917610
>USA will be shifting its potential and attention from Europe to Asia
how many US soldiers in Europe vs Asia?
>Europe will be forced to face Russia mostly on its own in conventional way, while being supported by the USA only in domains of space, nuclear deterrence and air support
who delivers most weapons to Ukraine?
>He said that USA will be forced to 'water down' art 5 of NATO and undermine the alliance
since then NATO gained new members
not really impressive track record tbh
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:31:02 GMT
No. 24917752
>>24917747
But it is a book only for Polish readers, it wasn't translated to English
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:37:51 GMT
No. 24917787
>>24917817
>>24917840
>>24917751
Bartosiak also created a group of developers creating grand strategy game "Play of Battle". The game would be released maybe next year. It is supposed to be most realistic game of this type ever created base on real data, real stuff.
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:45:32 GMT
No. 24917826
people say that US went to war with Japan because Japan was becoming too strong and rivalling US in the region. but after the war US made Japan far stronger in comparison to US's strength than it was before the war. so if China is stronger than US, and will win the war with US... this means that after the war China will make US far stronger than it was before the war?
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:47:22 GMT
No. 24917840
>>24917847
>>24917741
I know I read it, he wrote that china will collapse and usa will go to war with japan
Friedman and Stratfor are a joke, read their leaked emails it's a larp
Bartosiak is a hack, literally boasting about shit like >Potomac Foundation cause it sounds serious and poles eat it up. Look up Karber the president of this one man Foundation, he's a nobody and probably a chinese shill
btw Colby was supposed to be Trumps SoD, what happened?
>>24917787
>Play of Battle
imagine calling your super sirious war game that xD
BTW I don't even really hate bartosiak that much, I liked him all these years ago he did a lot to make poles interested in these topics but ultimately he's a midwit with too big of an ego
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:48:38 GMT
No. 24917847
>>24917859
>>24917840
A co ty na Malcie robisz?
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:48:55 GMT
No. 24917848
>>24917883
>>24917610
At least in the game Poland can win.
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:50:04 GMT
No. 24917853
>>24917817
wait it's wargame ripoff? lmao it will be even more of a flop than I thought
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:52:04 GMT
No. 24917863
>>24917873
>>24917859
Wakacje czy przeprowadzka?
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:53:57 GMT
No. 24917873
>>24917863
tymczasowo, wszedlem na kc bo syria, za pare dni pewnie znowu znikne
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:56:25 GMT
No. 24917883
>>24917937
>>24917848
We paid 5% GDP to keep Ukraine 1000 days in war that supposed to last less than a month. We already kinda won. Our most important interest is to remove Russia from having any influence on European matters. Europe and Russia became isolated lands. Moreover we managed to drag entire West into rearmament and conflict in Ukraine.
We would lose if the war ever spread on our territory.
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:59:08 GMT
No. 24917896
SÄGE!
Sounds less like an analysis and more like Polish ultra-nationalist wet dreams.
It did happen though. But he clearly didn't predict it. He wished for it and his wish came true.
It's like if I bet on 7 in a roulette game and then 7 gets out and I win it's not because I predicted it by some four-digit iq analysis or divined with some mysterious power.
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 22:59:58 GMT
No. 24917900
>>24917913
>>24917817
how modern the weaponry in the game is, does it have "Oreshnik"?
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 23:03:29 GMT
No. 24917913
>>24917936
>>24917900
It is ICBM launched at shortened distance. It is rather a laughing stock than alien tech.
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 23:04:21 GMT
No. 24917917
>>24917923
>guru of geopolitics
Let me guess. We should join Pidorashka in her crusade against the rotten West.
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 23:06:16 GMT
No. 24917923
>>24917917
Stop repeating lies about him. Now he says that we should always be one step behind the US in everything and keep low profile.
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 23:08:45 GMT
No. 24917936
>>24917913
Looking forward to your screeches when it will turn Poland into dust.
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 23:13:15 GMT
No. 24917948
>>24917951
>>24917953
>guru of geopolitics
guru of midwits like balding atlanta in his midlife crisis xD
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 23:15:56 GMT
No. 24917963
>>24917975
>>24917953
please confirm with a psychiatrist
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 23:18:22 GMT
No. 24917975
>>24917990
>>24917963
Depopulation agenda is real, though. It was not created in my head. It is happening. Were you vaxxed btw?
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 23:19:06 GMT
No. 24917981
>>24917953
>uuuh you know that once russia regains its power it will attempt aggressive politics?
<HOLY SHIT GUY IS LITERAL 189IQ GENIUS PROBABLY CIA ASSET
what's next, you gonna tell some kid who said water is wet he'll win a noble prize in physics? xD
Bernd
Fri, 29 Nov 2024 23:21:18 GMT
No. 24917990
>>24917998
>>24917975
Yeah it's not the first time I'm telling you that you're going schizo, I genuinely mean it get yourself checked